In 2025, a temporary growth acceleration is projected, fueled by a one-off expansion in oil production and associated export growth and further fiscal stimulus. Growth may moderate to 3.0–3.5 percent post-2025, due to persistently low productivity and declining investment levels, underscoring the need for policies to diversify the economy and support new levers of economic growth. Inflation is gradually moderating but remains above the target of 5 percent.

Source: World Bank Group 



Ihre Berater der Handelskammer

Regina Khvastunova

Kontaktieren Sie uns: kazakhstan@cc.lu


Kennzahlen

Fläche
2,724,900 km2
Bevölkerung
19.8 mln (2023)
Regierungsform
presidential republic
Sprachen
Kazakh (official, Qazaq), Russian (official, used in everyday business, designated the "language of interethnic communication")
BIP
$262.6 billion (2023)
Wachstumsrate
-2.6% (2020 est.)
HDI
51
Hauptstadt
Astana

Makroökonomische Indikatoren

Fiscal policy continues to be expansionary with the deficit expected to remain elevated. With expenditure growth outpacing revenue gains, the overall fiscal deficit is projected at 3.1 percent in 2025 before easing slightly to 2.7 percent in 2026. A new Tax Code underway now offers an opportunity to raise revenues through modernizing tax policy. While public and publicly guaranteed debt remains low and manageable at 24 percent of GDP, high domestic borrowing costs can reduce fiscal space. The current account deficit is projected to widen in 2025–2026 as exports moderate and the trade surplus is expected to shrink. 

The outlook faces several downside risks. First, a decline in global oil demand/prices would harm exports, fiscal revenues, and growth, and further increase exchange rate volatility. Second, prolonged fiscal expansion may further strain the fiscal balance, contribute to inflationary pressures, and necessitate a prolonged period of tight monetary policy, keeping borrowing costs high. Continued domestic borrowing risks crowding out the private sector and adding to debt servicing cost. Third, the growing frequency of extreme weather events threatens agricultural productivity, critical infrastructure, and economic stability, potentially stoking inflation and prompting further fiscal intervention. 

Source: World Bank Group 

IMF Statistics:

Subject descriptor 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Gross domestic product, constant prices

Percent change

(Units)

4.100

3.299

5.100

3.502

4.630

Gross domestic product, current prices

U.S. dollars

(Billions)

197.112

225.529

263.372

292.553

306.629

Gross domestic product per capita, current prices

U.S. dollars

(Units)

10,373.791

11,486.060

13,260.898

14,569.900

15,112.239

Inflation, average consumer prices

Percent change

(Units)

8.002

14.956

14.558

8.639

7.175

Volume of imports of goods and services

Percent change

(Units)

-10.732

13.972

24.767

0.089

3.912

Volume of exports of goods and services

Percent change

(Units)

-3.763

1.877

16.425

3.632

7.652

Unemployment rate

Percent of total labor force

(Units)

4.900

4.875

4.775

4.775

4.775

Current account balance

U.S. dollars

(Billions)

-2.673

7.054

-8.726

-4.492

-8.289

Current account balance

Percent of GDP

(Units)

-1.356

3.128

-3.313

-1.535

-2.703

Estimates

Source: IMF Statistics - Kazakhstan


Luxemburg und das Land

Existing conventions and agreements

Non double taxation agreement

In order to promote international economic and financial relations in the interest of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, the Luxembourg government negotiates bilateral agreements for the avoidance of double taxation and prevent fiscal evasion with respect to Taxes on Income and on fortune with third countries.

  • Convention from 26.06.2008 (Memorial 2013, A No.114, p.1733)

  • Effective as of 01.01.2014 (Memorial 2013, A No.114, p.1733)

  • Amendment of the Convention from 03.05.2012 (Memorial 2013, A No.114, p.1745)

  • Effective as of 01.01.2014 (Memorial 2013, A No.114, p.1733)

 


Weitere Informationen

Contact points in Kazakhstan

Embassy of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg in Kazakhstan

Ambassador with residence in Moscow: Mr Tom Reisen

Khrouchtchevsky Pereoulok 3
119034 Moscou
Russia

Tel.: (+7-495) 786 66 63
Consular Tel.: (+7–495) 786 66 65
Fax:(+7-495) 786 66 69
Consular Fax: (+7-499) 786 66 67
E-Mail: moscou.amb@mae.etat.lu 
Website: www.moscou.mae.lu 

Other useful links


Die Handelskammer und das Land